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1.Trends
of Telephone Subscribers in Tanzania 1995 - September 2007 |
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By
30th September 2007, about 7.7 millions Tanzanians (at most) owned
telephone lines. This is an increase of about 12% from June 2007.
The mobile telecommunication leads the market by having more subscriptions
(98%) as compared to fixed line services (2%). For more details
see Table 1 below. |
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Table 1: Subsrcibers
as at 30th September 2007 |
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YEAR |
FIXED LINES |
MOBILE |
TOTAL |
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1995 |
88,000 |
2,198 |
90,198 |
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1996 |
101,000 |
3,200 |
104,200 |
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1997 |
114,600 |
20,045 |
134,645 |
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1998 |
121,769 |
36,143 |
157,912 |
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1999 |
150,220 |
50,100 |
200,320 |
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2000 |
173,591 |
110,518 |
284,109 |
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2001 |
177,802 |
275,557 |
453,359 |
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2002 |
161,590 |
606,859 |
768,449 |
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2003 |
147,006 |
1,298,000 |
1,445,006 |
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2004 |
148,360 |
1,942,000 |
2,090,360 |
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2005 |
154,420 |
2,963,737
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3,118,157 |
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2006 |
157,287 |
5,609,279 |
5,766,566 |
| Sep-07
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160,964
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7,562,827
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7,723,791 |
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2.0
Growth Pattern & Teledensity (Population Coverage) |
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While the population of Tanzania is growing at the rate of 2.7%
annually, the annual number of Tanzanian subscribing for a Telephone
lines grows at an average rate of 47%. |
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Though,
the subscription is growing at higher rate than that of population,
yet there is still a huge gap as shown in figure1 above. The figure
shows clearly that the larger population of Tanzanian individuals
(at least 80.6%) do not have telephone lines. Table 2 below gives
a detailed summary of population and subscriptions. |
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Table 2: TANZANIA
POPULATION Vs SUBSCRIPTIONS |
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YEAR |
POPULATION |
SUBSCRIBERS |
NON SUBSRCIBERS |
1995 |
29,147,703 |
90,198 |
29,057,505 |
| 1996 |
29,963,838 |
104,200 |
29,859,638 |
1997 |
30,802,826 |
134,645 |
30,668,181 |
1998 |
31,665,305 |
157,912 |
31,507,393 |
1999 |
32,551,934 |
200,320 |
32,351,614 |
2000 |
33,463,388 |
284,109 |
33,179,279 |
2001 |
33,756,093 |
453,359 |
33,302,734 |
2002 |
34,161,166 |
768,449 |
33,392,717 |
| 2003 |
34,876,231 |
1,445,006 |
33,431,225 |
2004 |
36,049,581 |
2,090,360 |
33,959,221 |
2005 |
37,267,530 |
3,118,157 |
34,149,373 |
2006 |
38,523,907 |
5,766,566 |
32,757,341 |
Sep-07 |
39,816,363 |
7,723,791 |
32,092,572 |
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Graphical
presentation of the underserved population of 32 millions people
(80.6%) against telephones lines 7.7 millions (19.4%) is as depicted
below |
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3.
Subscribers per Operators (2000 - June 2007) |
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The
trend of subscriptions among the operators over the period does
not demonstrate high competition. Vodacom is leading the market
in terms of number of subscribers with 48% of all subscribers (50%
last June). Celtel ranks the second with 29% (28% last June) followed
by Tigo (13%, 12% last June), Zantel (7%, the same as in June) and
TTCL (3%, 2% last June). |
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Table 3: below shows
the number of subscribers per operators from the year 2000 to June
2007 |
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Table3: SUBSCRIPTIONS
PER OPERATORS |
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| Year |
TTCL (Fixed) |
ZANTEL |
TIGO |
VODACOM |
CELTEL |
TOTAL |
| 2000 |
173,591 |
4,007 |
56,511 |
50,000 |
- |
284,109 |
| 2001 |
177,802 |
6,501 |
89,056 |
180,000 |
- |
453,359 |
| 2002 |
161,590 |
26,770 |
160,000 |
300,000 |
120,089 |
768,449 |
| 2003 |
147,006 |
68,000 |
210,000 |
700,000 |
320,000 |
1,445,006 |
| 2004 |
148,360 |
85,000 |
303,000 |
1,050,000 |
504,000 |
2,090,360 |
| 2005 |
154,420 |
96,109 |
422,500 |
1,562,435 |
882,693 |
3,118,157 |
| 2006 |
157,287 |
355,993 |
760,874 |
2,975,580 |
1,516,832 |
5,766,566 |
| Sep- 2007 |
233,890 |
553,975 |
992,036 |
3,693,062 |
2,250,828 |
7,723,791 |
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Figure
4 below shows the subscribers growth pattern over the period of
six years. The growth tends to converge to around 50% by September
2007. |
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As
it is shown in the figure, up to September 2007 subscription growth
for all Operators is dropping except for TTCL which is shown to
be increasing. Table 4 below gives a detailed summary of Growth
Pattern per each Operator. |
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VODACOM |
TIGO |
CELTEL |
ZANTEL |
TTCL |
| 2000-2001 |
260% |
58% |
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62% |
2% |
| 2001-2002 |
67% |
80% |
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312% |
-9% |
| 2002-2003 |
133% |
31% |
166% |
154% |
-9% |
| 2003-2004 |
50% |
44% |
58% |
25% |
1% |
| 2004-2005 |
49% |
39% |
75% |
13% |
4% |
| 2005-2006 |
90% |
80% |
72% |
270% |
2% |
2006-Sept2007
|
24% |
30% |
48% |
56% |
49% |
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